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What Will Hertl’s Next Contract Look Like?



What will Tomas Hertl’s next contract look like?

We might have got a sneak peek yesterday when Philadelphia signed Sean Couturier to an eight-year, $62 million dollar contract.

Why is this Flyer’s contract a reasonable comp for the San Jose Sharks star?

Both Hertl and Couturier are number-one centers entering their UFA walk years.

Both are close in age — 2011 first-round pick Couturier is 28, 2012 first-round pick Hertl is 27.

Both entered their scoring prime in their age-25 seasons. Since 2017-18, Couturier has averaged 0.91 Points Per Game. Since 2018-19, Hertl has averaged 0.87 Points Per Game.

It’s not a perfect comp — Couturier won the Selke Trophy in 2020, was the runner-up in 2018, and has five top-10 Selke finishes on his resume. Hertl is a decent two-way center, but he’s definitely more offensively-oriented.

This is reflected in their usage: Couturier has skated 20:56 a game since 2017-18, Hertl 18:54 since 2018-19. Couturier is one of just 18 forwards who have averaged more than 20 minutes a night over the last four years.

So we should expect Hertl to come in at a lower rate than Couturier. Similar age and productivity, but Couturier is an elite defensive pivot, Hertl is not.

Couturier also doesn’t have Hertl’s major injury history.

The question for the San Jose Sharks, do they want to invest eight years and say $56 million in Hertl? On one hand, it’s certainly a reasonable rate — it appears that the pandemic has lowered the going rate on players in general. Before the cap starts going up again, it makes sense to take advantage. On the other hand, the Sharks are locked into a bevy of long, expensive contracts with older players — do they really want to take on another?

Previously, sources had suggested to San Jose Hockey Now that the Sharks view Hertl as a long-term piece a la Joe Pavelski or Logan Couture — that their alternate captain is not just a player, he’s a culture-setter and a leader.

That the San Jose Sharks didn’t move him at the Trade Deadline, when his value was at perhaps its apex, suggests as much:

Could Hertl Be Traded? Teams Are Asking | SJHN+

That said, things are curiously quiet on the Hertl front right now. We’ll see if that changes soon.

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Hoping they wait until after the deadline to lock him up if they are going long term.
Otherwise sell him as a rental and then bring him back on short term deal in summer


That plus make sure he stays healthy another major injury and I wouldn’t want them to commit to another 7/8yr deal


Sheng what do you think the chances are that Hertl’s camp will agree to a five or six year term, instead of eight?


Staying healthy is definitely a factor!

[…] What will Tomas Hertl’s next contract look like? We might have got a sneak peek yesterday when Philadelphia signed Sean Couturier to an eight-year, $62 million dollar contract. Why is this Flyer’s contract a reasonable comp for the San Jose Sharks star? (San Jose Hockey Now) […]

david barnard

he’s hands down the best player on the team right now. he’ll be pushing 30 (28 this Nov) before we get the cream of the crop of our pipeline onto the team full-time-unless DW wants to rush them thru their development. i’m betting the injuries have shortened his career significantly, which could mean earlier physical decline than expected. i hate to say it, but Hertl is a prime player to be moved at the TDL. should’ve probably bit the bullet on this last season. unlike EK65, his game isn’t predicated on speed/elusiveness, so perhaps the drop in play won’t be… Read more »

Last edited 11 months ago by david barnard

I strongly disagree with you – we’re going to need strong vets to build a culture around as the younger kids start to come up over the next couple of years and I literally cannot think of a single other Sharks vet who I would want them to pattern themselves off of other than Hertl. That factor makes any contract under $7.5 a deal and a half to me – we literally cannot afford to lose him the way that we lost Pavs.

david barnard

we’re already stuck with vets on long term deals we won’t be able to move. Couture, for example, is a character/leader guy on such a deal. i don’t think this org can “afford” another immovable player on the wrong side of 30 w/an extensive injury history on top.

[…] San Jose:   Because of an expiring contract, Tomas Hertl  could be a key center in the trade market. San Jose Hockey Now’s Sheng Peng looks at the center market and what salary Hertl could command.  […]

[…] What Will Hertl’s Next Contract Look Like? […]

[…] What Will Hertl’s Next Contract Look Like? […]


A trade to Minnesota who needs help up the middle would be adequate. They have some fine blue chip prospects that could satisfy a deal for the Sharks.

Believing the Sharks need to sign players for culture is comical considering they have to do something about Kane first. The Sharks are no position to sign anyone long term for another 4-5 years.


I just hope that his next contract has him pulling the Shark jersey on before every game.


Me too. I agree with the comment above that there is no other player in the room that I would like to see our young ones model their culture after. Endlessly cheerful, dedicated, and motivated. All qualities we desperately need, especially after the Kane fiasco.

david barnard

really? not even say, Mario Ferraro?

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