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What Are Sharks’ Chances to Draft Hall of Famer at No. 7?

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What’s in a draft pick?

This week’s Draft lottery confirmed that the San Jose Sharks would pick seventh in the first round of the 2021 NHL Draft. This will be San Jose’s first top-10 selection since 2015 and the first time they’ll pick No. 7.

But not every lottery pick smells as sweet.

For example, there have been just two Hall of Famers drafted seventh-overall, compared to eight (and many more on the way) who were selected first-overall.

Of course, the San Jose Sharks at No. 7 would be thrilled to add to that two’s company of Bernie Federko (1976) and Bill Barber (1972) this July 23rd.

Here are some other interesting seventh pick of the NHL Draft stats, courtesy of Stathead.

  • Most Games Played: 1,540 (Shane Doan, No. 7 by Winnipeg in 1995)
  • Most Games Played, Defenseman: 1,417 (Luke Richardson, Toronto 1987)
  • Most Goals: 420 (Bill Barber, Philadelphia 1972)
  • Most Assists: 761 (Bernie Federko, St. Louis 1976)
  • Most Points: 1,130 (Federko)

Barber leads the No. 7 group with three All-Star Team appearances (1976 First Team left winger, 1979 Second Team, 1981 Second Team). Defenseman Ryan Suter (Nashville 2003) was a 2013 First-Team All-Star and right winger Jakub Voracek (Columbus 2007) was a 2015 First-Team All-Star. Blueliner Darnell Nurse (Edmonton 2013) might join this select group this off-season.

Eight players have reached the 1,000-game milestone:

  • 1,540 (Doan)
  • 1,417 (Richardson)
  • 1,291 (Darryl Sydor, Los Angeles 1990)
  • 1,273 (Martin Gelinas, Los Angeles 1988)
  • 1,244 (Jason Arnott, Edmonton 1993)
  • 1,198 (Suter)
  • 1,029 (Russ Courtnall, Toronto 1983)
  • 1,000 (Federko)

Voracek, at 968, is also approaching this mark.

Here are some other interesting seventh-overall factoids:

  • Only one goalie, of 53 post-expansion No. 7 selections, has gone seventh — Jamie Storr was selected by the Kings in 1995
  • Four No. 7 picks have played for the San Jose Sharks: Manny Malhotra (Rangers 1998), Ulf Dahlen (Rangers 1985), Shawn Burr (Detroit 1984), Doug Zmolek (Minnesota 1989)
  • There are two active No. 7 picks in the post-season right now, and they’re both suspended: Mark Scheifele (Winnipeg 2011), Nazem Kadri (Toronto 2009)
  • 57% of seventh-overall picks in the post-expansion era have played over 500 NHL games
  • Just three have not played in an NHL game. Obviously, Alexander Holtz, picked by New Jersey last season, has plenty of time to get there. Ryan Sittler (Philadelphia 1992) and Jim McInally (Los Angeles 1968) didn’t make the big show either
  • The average No. 7 pick — counting only non-active skaters — plays 622 NHL games
  • The average No. 7 forward — counting only non-actives — scores 163 goals, 217 assists, and 380 points over his career
  • The last 10 No. 7 picks were Holtz, Dylan Cozens, Quinn Hughes, Lias Andersson, Clayton Keller, Ivan Provorov, Haydn Fleury, Nurse, Matt Dumba, and Scheifele

Finally, let’s go back to Hall of Famers. There’s Federko and Barber at No.7. Could Suter, Scheifele, or Quinn Hughes (Vancouver 2018) join them?

Also, let’s compare seventh-overall to the rest of the top-seven:

  • No. 1: Eight Hall of Famers (Gilbert Perreault, Denis Potvin, Guy Lafleur, Eric Lindros, Dale Hawerchuk, Mario Lemieux, Mats Sundin Mike Modano) and Joe Thornton, Marc-Andre Fleury, Alex Ovechkin, Sidney Crosby, Patrick Kane, Steven Stamkos, John Tavares, Nathan MacKinnon, Connor McDavid, or Auston Matthews on the way?
  • No. 2: Three Hall of Famers (Brendan Shanahan, Marcel Dionne, Chris Pronger) and Patrick Marleau, Drew Doughty, Evgeni Malkin, Victor Hedman, Aleksander Barkov, Jack Eichel, or Daniel Sedin on the way?
  • No. 3: Three Hall of Famers (Scott Niedermayer, Denis Savard, Pat Lafontaine) and Henrik Sedin, Jonathan Toews, Miro Heiskanen, or Leon Draisaitl on the way?
  • No. 4: Eight Hall of Famers (Ron Francis, Larry Murphy, Steve Yzerman, Lanny McDonald, Mike Gartner, Paul Kariya, Clark Gillies, Steve Shutt) and Roberto Luongo, Nicklas Backstrom, or Alex Pietrangelo on the way?
  • No. 5: One Hall of Famer (Scott Stevens) and Jaromir Jagr, Carey Price, Elias Pettersson on the way?
  • No. 6: Four Hall of Famers (Phil Housley, Paul Coffey, Doug Wilson, Peter Forsberg) — there’s nobody obvious on the way

So two Hall of Famers at No. 7 isn’t unusual, after all. After No. 1 and lucky No. 4, the top-seven looks to be a bit of a crapshoot in terms of hockey royalty.

Anyway, hockey royalty or not, No. 7 is a good spot for the San Jose Sharks. Can they reel in a future Hall of Famer?

Chris Peters Talks Sharks & Wide-Open 2021 Draft

YearTeamPlayerPosAmateur TeamAmateur Lg.GPGAPTS+/-PIM
2020New Jersey DevilsAlexander HoltzRWDjurgardenSweden
2019Buffalo SabresDylan CozensCLethbridge HurricanesWHL414913-1516
2018Vancouver CanucksQuinn HughesDMichiganBig Ten129118697-3446
2017New York RangersLias AnderssonCHV 71Sweden896915-2445
2016Arizona CoyotesClayton KellerCUSA U-18USHL29368125193-4294
2015Philadelphia FlyersIvan ProvorovDBrandonWHL371501091599138
2014Carolina HurricanesHaydn FleuryDRED DEERWHL17972027-1232
2013Edmonton OilersDarnell NurseDSault Ste. MarieOHL4064511215720352
2012Minnesota WildMathew DumbaDRed DeerWHL4626812719528271
2011Winnipeg JetsMark ScheifeleCBarrieOHL57520130650779237
2010Carolina HurricanesJeff SkinnerLWKitchenerOHL773265214479-129336
2009Toronto Maple LeafsNazem KadriCLondonOHL668191234425-27518
2008Nashville PredatorsColin WilsonCBoston UniversityH-East63211317328632138
2007Columbus Blue JacketsJakub VoracekRWHalifaxQMJHL968216522738-16481
2006New York IslandersKyle OkposoRWDes MoinesUSHL835198321519-114443
2005Chicago BlackhawksJack SkilleRWU.S. National U-18USNTDP368434184-52118
2004Florida PanthersRostislav OleszLWVitkoviceCzech3655777134-11118
2003Nashville PredatorsRyan SuterDUSA U-18USNTDP119893514607105667
2002Anaheim DucksJoffrey LupulLWMedicine HatWHL701205215420-79407
2001Montreal CanadiensMike KomisarekDMichiganCCHA551146781-19679
2000Boston BruinsLars JonssonDLeksandSweden8022-46
1999Washington CapitalsKris BeechCCalgaryWHL198254267-37113
1998New York RangersManny MalhotraCGuelphOHL991116179295-26451
1997Tampa Bay LightningPaul MaraDSudburyOHL73464189253-110776
1996Buffalo SabresErik RasmussenLWMinnesotaWCHA54552761285305
1995Winnipeg JetsShane DoanRWKamloopsWHL1540402570972-541353
1994Los Angeles KingsJamie StorrGOwen SoundOHL219033026
1993Edmonton OilersJason ArnottCOshawaOHL1244417521938811242
1992Philadelphia FlyersRyan SittlerNicholsHigh-NY
1991Vancouver CanucksAlek StojanovRWHamiltonOHL107257-12222
1990Los Angeles KingsDarryl SydorDKamloopsWHL12919840950721755
1989Minnesota North StarsDoug ZmolekDJohn MarshallHigh-MN467115364-84905
1988Los Angeles KingsMartin GelinasLWHullQMJHL127330935166052820
1987Toronto Maple LeafsLuke RichardsonDPeterboroughOHL141735166201-1192055
1986Vancouver CanucksDan WoodleyRWPortlandWHL5202117
1985New York RangersUlf DahlenLWOstersunds IKSweden966301354655-20230
1984Detroit Red WingsShawn BurrLWKitchenerOHL8781812594401191069
1983Toronto Maple LeafsRuss CourtnallRWVictoriaWHL1029297447744-3557
1982Chicago BlackhawksKen YaremchukCPortlandWHL235365692-41106
1981Montreal CanadiensMark HunterRWBrantfordOHL628213171384-161426
1980Vancouver CanucksRick LanzDOshawaOHL56965221286-102448
1979Chicago BlackhawksKeith BrownDPortlandWHL8766827434265916
1978Philadelphia FlyersKen LinsemanCKingstonOHL8602565518072211725
1977Minnesota North StarsBrad MaxwellDNew WestminsterWCHL61398270368-831292
1976St. Louis BluesBernie FederkoCSaskatoonWHL10003697611130-131487
1975Chicago BlackhawksGreg VaydikCMedicine HatWHL5000-20
1974Montreal CanadiensDoug RisebroughCKitchenerOHL7401852864712131542
1973Pittsburgh PenguinsBlaine StoughtonRWFlin FlonWHL526258191449-93204
1972Philadelphia FlyersBill BarberLWKitchenerOHL903420463883312623
1971Montreal CanadiensChuck ArnasonRWFlin FlonWHL40110990199-73122
1970Pittsburgh PenguinsGreg PolisLWEstevanWCHL615174169343-82391
1969Oakland SealsTony FeatherstoneRWPeterboroughOHL130172138-2165
1968Los Angeles KingsJim McInallyHamiltonOHL
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Alicia

Interesting read. Thanks for the info Sheng!

andrew

What stands out is the games played overall with the pick number 7 and the high minute defensemen in this list currently.

david barnard

i’m pretty sure Cole Sillinger was compared to Mark Scheifele by SMAHT Scouting for his questionable skating made up by his deceptiveness, strong off puck play, hunting for open ice, and eye for narrow passing lanes.

trading back to #13 should probably find him there. i wouldn’t take him as high as #7.

Last edited 3 months ago by david barnard
andrew

Cole got compared to Logan Couture of all people on tsn.

Last edited 3 months ago by andrew
david barnard

the “problem” with being at #7 is that you aren’t sure you’ll be getting an impact player because evaluating this class was made a crap shoot due to Covid and the fact that it’s a weaker draft overall. still, the odds of getting an impact player is in picks #1-3. trading back and adding another pick before the Sharks’ 3rd round pick is attractive to me, knowing that there will be players whose draft position has slipped due variables outside their control. players like: Cole Sillinger, Franceso Pinelli, Carson Lambos, and Aatu Raty,

andrew

Sharks already have two 3s and two 4s. They do not need to trade back out of the top 10 to get into the 2nd round with that kind of ammo.

david barnard

it’s two 4ths and two 5ths. they pick 7th and 71st. that’s a long time between to make your second pick of the draft. let’s say they trade back w/CHI at #12. they get CHI #12 and most probably the VGK 2nd rd pick at #64. my draft trading back looks something like this: *rd 1: #12 Aatu Raty/McTavish/Lucius/Sillinger, center rd 2: #64 Aidan Hreschuk, defenseman rd 3: #71 Tristan Lennox, goalie rd 4: #103 Samu Salminen, center rd 4: #121 Ville Koivunen, right/left wing rd 5: #135 Cameron Whynot, defenseman rd 5: #160 Jack O’Brien, center rd 6: #167… Read more »

Gary To

Highest pick in DWJR’s time , will be interesting!

Eric Pichette

I could see DW trading back with either Ottawa or Chicago to obtain a 2nd but chances are the higher impact player would be selected at 7. I guess it boils down to whether or not DW feels the disparity between the player at 10 or 12 isn’t too great.

david barnard

i mean, Sillinger’s been compared to Scheifele and Hreschuk’s been compared to Torey Krug. if they pan out, i wouldn’t mind having a Scheifele and Krug on the Sharks. for many of these players the scouts aren’t all that comfortable ranking them (especially among the F’s).

i love Brandt Clarke at #7. i think he’s going to be a big time player. that being said, i think i’m cool with a trade back IF the right situation is there.

snipecity420

Guenther please 🙏🏼🇨🇦

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