San Jose Sharks
Sharks Clinch Best 2025 Draft Lottery Odds
The San Jose Sharks are No. 1! The San Jose Sharks are No. 1!
In 2025 Draft Lottery odds, that is.
By virtue of the Chicago Blackhawks’ 5-4 shootout loss to the Winnipeg Jets on Saturday night, the San Jose Sharks, as the worst team in the NHL, have now guaranteed themselves the top Draft Lottery odds for the 2025 Draft.
According to Tankathon, the Sharks will have a 25.5 percent chance of getting the first-overall pick again. At the moment, the second-worst team in the league, the Blackhawks, have a 13.5 percent chance, while third-worst Nashville Predators have an 11.5.
The San Jose Sharks can pick no worse than No. 3 in the 2025 Draft.
The date and time of the 2025 Draft Lottery has not been announced yet. Per Chris Johnston, it will be on May 5 or 6.
Last year, San Jose, the worst team in the NHL, also got the No. 1 pick with the best odds, selecting Macklin Celebrini in the 2024 Draft.
In the modern NHL Draft, only the Quebec Nordiques (1989-91), Ottawa Senators (1995-96), and Edmonton Oilers (2010-12) have picked No. 1 in consecutive years.
The 2025 Draft will be held on Jun. 27-28 in Los Angeles.
Erie Otters defenseman Matthew Schaefer is the favorite to be the No. 1 pick, though at the moment, that decision doesn’t seem as clear-cut as Celebrini in 2024 and Connor Bedard in 2023. Centermen Michael Misa, Anton Frondell, and James Hagens, and winger Porter Martone also appear to be contenders to go first-overall.
Alright, let’s wrap this thing up with a three game win streak and 10 more points for Macklin.
The next game will be tough. Calgary will fight tooth and nail for the playoff spot, and the next one is back-to-back against Vancouver. They should win last at home vs Edmonton.
Yup time to stop playing possum!
I like the way you think!
2 goals per game for Smitty to take 4th all time among Sharks rookies please and thank you.
We’re number 1! We’re number 1!
Michael Misa should be the target! Pair him up with Cheryshov. They already play on the same line! Schaefer is good and I’d be happy with him, but Misa is the sniper we are looking for to charge our offense!
I really can’t decide who to take. If Schaefer truly is an impending #1 D-man you have to take him. Misa might not be a center at the NHL level. Always scary taking wingers with such a high pick.
I am with you, really torn. If Schaefer was RHD no brainer, I still think as good as he looked before hurt and even with a YOUNG dickenson (always forget he is still only 18), as well as, with our loaded forward pool, have to grab him. However, big fan of Misa and Big Willy Style has looked great on Macks wing. So you get two could he 2nd line centers that can slot in on each other wing or Mack. Nice thing is being in that top 3 is huge! I still like Martone as a consolation prize over… Read more »
From The Athletic’s Martone writeup:
“Martone’s major issue is the pace in his game. When he turns the corner and gets up ice his foot speed is decent, but his first few steps are heavy, with a semi-wonky looking stride and he doesn’t always play with a ton of tempo.”
No, thank you.
Yup.
I have really only heard a couple scouts and pundits saying great things about Martone. I also think we already have a lot of that style of player (see Haltunnen, Lund, Chernyshov, and Musty). Not that they will all pan out but still. This style of player GMMG has acquired in spades. As to Hagens, I have watched most all of BC’s games and am underwhelmed with him as a prospect. I consider him a Smith-light with better defensive play. And we already have a lot of small good players (see Celebrini, Smith, Eklund, etc.). I put forth to everyone… Read more »
I think I’d be on the Frondell bandwagon if it comes to that also. First choice if they are picking third is to try and use it to make a pretty big trade, but Frondell as the player to pick is good with me.
Honestly, I might prefer them to trade the second pick too, if they can, and Schaefer is taken first.
I’m not sold on what I’ve seen from Martone but I’m definitely not expert on draft prospects. If Grier picks him I have all the trust that he has the potential to be what many think. But again he’s a true winger so hopefully he’s legit.
Misa or Schaefer and I’ll be over the moon. I’ll be mostly ok with about 5 other guys, but if the Sharks land at 3, maybe there is opportunity for creativity to make the best of things
Talk about a team folding,tanking end of season. Was there really any improvement after all star break with this team. Again ,Celebrini, Smith are 2 brightest stars up and coming.
Confusing comment – they weren’t expected to improve after trading away their best goalie, top center, a 20 goal scorer and top 2 defensemen. This is what happens to rebuilding teams at the deadline.
Walman is not a top pairing defenseman on most teams.
He was their top D. Way to miss context buddy.😉
Did you watch any of the games or are you just here to complain?
There was a crap ton of improvement. Muk, Eklund, Graf to start. Unrelated, man I want to punch Vatrano in the face myself.
Lund and Cagnoni got their feet wet. The team got a look at Ostapchuk, Desharnais and a few others.
Winning actual hockey games was not the goal. I think it will be starting next year.
Agreed!
Take Martone or Frondell at #3, or try to move up to #1 by packaging our #3, #30 (Dallas), and/or #33 pick.
Martone or Frondell are the answer at 3. Hard agree. Disagree with the package plan though, I would rather see those picks used to get something in a trade. Clarke is my #1 target if they can get that done. Nemec or Casey would be second.
Clarke? From LA? Why would he be available? I can see why the NJ guys would be available but not Clarke.
There was a lot of rumors regarding LA moving on from him. It would seem now that he won’t be and the rumors got put to bed but I had not seen that. My bad.
You’re good buddy. Who can keep up with all the rumors. Who knows maybe the right offer pries him loose?
Ew, hell no to giving up all that draft capital for any of those guys.
Frondell is all over the place, why not Mcqueen over Frondell? No need to add another 6 foot guy. He is pretty good 2 way guy and smart, but McQueen probably fill that power foward big crushing clowe type guy. Nice thing is, do not have to have that debate! Sharks in top 3 and it is Martone or Hagens (almost same size as Frondell, few cm difference, and way more upside!) Passing on Hagens for Martone can see, but not for Frondell. And I am a huge fan of Swedish hockey players but, top 3 pick should rule out… Read more »
Did you really just say they are (basically)the same size, not taking into account the inches difference there is still weight/style of play/body type. They play nothing alike in terms of power and how they handle contact.
and McQueen with those injuries at #3 no thanks. Seen him mocked far later than Frondell, maybe everywhere except Button?
Now hopefully they win the ball drop.
The Hockey Gods and the univers will make it happen top 2 pick for for the Sharks!
This is the way!
Only better scenario is Chicago wins and takes Misa, while sharks get there guy, if he is their #1, at 2 and then Chicago is out of lottery luck for a couple years, assuming they don’t finish last.
one can dream…
My favorite scenario has the Sharks winning the lottery and Chicago at 2, with the Sharks making Chicago pay up to get Misa and the Sharks get their #1 D-man. I am trying to go on record as many times as possible to say that I think Schaefer is something very special. I got the same tingly feeling watching Celebrini last year and I said he was going to be better than Bedard. Yeah, I didn’t think his offense would be superior like it has been, I was thinking all around package. But I said it. In this case with… Read more »
Celly was a generational prospect but no one wanted to admit it after the Bedard fatigue. Not sure Schaefer matches that description.
ThE lOtTerY iS riGgeD
you’re a chem trails guy aren’t you….
32.95% chance of top two pick.
That’s it? Seems like it would be higher than that. If the Sharks don’t get the top pick, their chances of getting #2 are that small?
Its 44,3% to pick first or second.
I used A.I. on Google. Not my math, which is horrifying.
I see another formula that corroborates the 44.3%. Honestly, I’m not certain which is correct. The 32.95% showed the formula for reaching that number.
it is a bit complicated, as probability of winning second depends on who wins first, it is really a range, or min/max
if I over complicate, and it is simpler, it is 44.3 to win 2
What are we talking about? Formulas?
Add two numbers together. It’s 44.3%. LOL
My initial thought, but was told by a mysterious A.I. entity that was incorrect. 😆
I have to lean toward a D-man, especially if he’s a 1st or 2nd overall pick for the draft class. I wouldn’t be displeased with Misa either. Misa is one of very, very few with 50 goals in 50 OHL games (Tavares, Kane, Lindros too). He shoots a ton. Pure sniper.