San Jose Sharks
Would Johnny Gaudreau Be a Good Fit in San Jose?

This much we know: Doug Wilson loves trading for depressed assets.
For a variety of reasons, stars like Erik Karlsson, Evander Kane, and Joe Thornton found their way to San Jose for quarters on the dollar.
On Friday, Eric Francis of Sportsnet reported that Johnny Gaudreau had “likely played his last game as a Calgary Flame.” He also added: “There is no chance Gaudreau would re-sign in Calgary when his contract expires in the summer of 2022, which means he needs to be dealt well before then.”
Gaudreau also has a modified no-trade clause that kicks in 2021-22, the last year of his current deal, which will limit Calgary to five trade destinations of the winger’s choice.
So if the Flames are indeed done with Johnny Hockey, it would make a lot of sense for them to deal him at least before the next Trade Deadline.
So where do the San Jose Sharks fit in?
• Gaudreau could still be an elite talent. He’s just 27, and despite suffering an inconsistent season, is only a year removed from a Hart Trophy-caliber campaign — in fact, I voted him third in 2018-19, behind Sidney Crosby and Nikita Kucherov. Tallying all the votes, he finished fourth.
A scout shared: “He was inconsistent but certainly can be a game-changer when he’s on. Hit or miss for me in my viewings this year.”
• Gaudreau fills a team need. There’s no doubt that the 5-foot-9 winger could inject a ton of skill and creativity into San Jose’s 27th-ranked offense, 23rd-ranked power play, and generally underwhelming forward depth.
• Gaudreau can be just another guy with the Sharks. In Calgary, Johnny Hockey was a superstar, the face of the francise. In San Jose, he’ll be able to walk around the city unrecognized and take off his equipment without hassle while reporters chase the likes of Erik Karlsson, Brent Burns, and captain Logan Couture. The potential returns of legends Joe Thornton and Patrick Marleau could provide even more cover.
• Gaudreau’s cap hit is reasonable. At $6.75 million per for the next two seasons, he’ll be far more affordable than say, pending UFA Taylor Hall. While the cap-strapped San Jose Sharks will struggle to fit even 6.75, it’s more plausible than again, Hall. I’ll circle back to this later.
• Gaudreau could be acquired for relatively cheap. According to Francis, Calgary has soured on Gaudreau because of back-to-back poor playoff showings: “In a flat cap world it’s going to be hard enough to swap out Gaudreau for any meaningful return, let alone a man making $6.75 million.”
Here’s a hypothetical: Last summer, if Doug Wilson offered, say, Timo Meier — signed for four more years at $6 million dollars per — straight up for Gaudreau, he would’ve been laughed out of the room. Now? It sounds like Calgary would take that and run.
This is where the San Jose Sharks don’t fit:
• The Sharks are in the same division as the Flames. Would Brad Treliving trade his star within the Pacific? It’s one thing trading James Neal to Edmonton, a franchise face could be another story.
• There might be more going on behind the scenes. Sure, Gaudreau has had consecutive tough post-seasons and endured an underwhelming 2019-20 — but he just turned 27 and is a proven point-per-game playmaker. Even with a flat cap, $6.75 million was not a wild overpay for his 2019-20 and was a bargain in 2018-19. So what gives?
• Would Gaudreau stay in San Jose? I’d imagine the Sharks, if interested, would trade for the winger with an eye toward keeping him after 2022. The New Jersey native himself has said it “would be sweet” to play closer to home.
For what it’s worth, Gaudreau pushed back both on that 2017 declaration and Francis’s report during his exit interview today, saying of Calgary: “It’s a team I could see myself playing for for the remainder of my career, and I’ve always said that. I know a lot of people have speculations of me wanting to go back east. But I just feel really comfortable where I’m at with the teammates there, the coaching staff, with Brad, the management team, and the owners.”
• San Jose has a lot of holes — is it really possible to fit Gaudreau’s $6.75 million cap hit? It appears so — if a number of (reasonable) hypotheticals fall in place. This is assuming the acquisition of Gaudreau without parting with a Meier or a Kevin Labanc — it’s tight, but doable. Alexander True and Noah Gregor, who are still on their ELCs, can be shuttled back and forth between the AHL:
2020-21 San Jose Sharks?
FORWARDS | CAP HIT |
Couture, Logan | 8,000,000 |
Kane, Evander | 7,000,000 |
Meier, Timo | 6,000,000 |
Hertl, Tomas | 5,625,000 |
Sörensen, Marcus | 1,500,000 |
Gambrell, Dylan | 700,000 |
Gaudreau, Johnny | 6,750,000 |
Labanc, Kevin | 3,000,000 |
Marleau, Patrick | 1,000,000 |
Thornton, Joe | 1,000,000 |
Noesen, Stefan | 800,000 |
Kellman, Joel | 750,000 |
TOTAL | 42,125,000 |
DEFENSE | |
Karlsson, Erik | 11,500,000 |
Burns, Brent | 8,000,000 |
Vlasic, Marc-Édouard | 7,000,000 |
Simek, Radim | 2,250,000 |
Heed, Tim | 1,000,000 |
Ferraro, Mario | 925,000 |
TOTAL | 30,675,000 |
GOALIES | |
Jones, Martin | 5,750,000 |
Greiss, Thomas | 2,500,000 |
TOTAL | 8,250,000 |
SAN JOSE SHARKS | |
TOTAL | 81,050,000 |
SALARY CAP CEILING | 81,500,000 |
Granted, for San Jose, acquiring a Gaudreau might make for another top-heavy piece for an already top-heavy group — but we know Doug Wilson always has his eye out for special talent. Gaudreau fits the bill and at a discount.
I’ve been talking about gettin’ Johnny Hockey for a while now! I mean, CGY does owe us “Future Considerations” for the Brandon Davidson trade… Right??
I hadn’t thought about that!
so, we want a guy who possibly wants to hide in SJ at that price point? i’ve been critical of the Sharks laissez faire locker room and this guy seems like just another contributor to that culture. we should be looking to sign lions! he’s not a big game player either. take a look at his playoff record, it’s not good. Goodrow and M.Karlsson contribute better 5v5 TP/60 rates over the last 3 seasons combined. he’s a PP specialist-he jumps from 0.28 to 1.72 TP/60 on the PP in the playoffs. he won’t help the Sharks get any tougher for… Read more »
On Timo: I wasn’t suggesting trading Timo for Gaudreau, merely pointing out JG’s drop in value compared to last summer. SJS can’t afford to trade Meier for Gaudreau imo, they don’t have enough surrounding talent. On the other stuff, I don’t think the locker room is laissez faire, at least until last year. I guess it’s always been laissez faire may be in terms of personalities, but not in terms of commitment to the game and the team. So he can hide in San Jose from the media and the fans, but he’s not hiding from a Thornton or a… Read more »
for as much as Jumbo has done to get the various Sharks teams to the playoffs, neither he nor PM ever carried their teams to a SC win, like you see with other talent in their tiers. LC has been the best playoff performer iirc in the history of the org. you could argue that the team never had enough talent around Jumbo, so teams could focus on him, but then i’d argue that the Jumbo-Heatley-PM line was 1 of the best in the league and they got stopped by a strong CHI team. i think it’s something that not… Read more »
That’s fair to say, but if you can acquire a Gaudreau at a discount and with his current cap hit, that could be a great value. CGY didn’t have proven playoff performers like Couture or Karlsson (say EK65 has another 2017 post-season left in him) to take the heat off. A little less attention, whether it be external (fans, media) and internal (on the ice if everybody is focused on an EK65), a guy of his skill could explode. It’s not a likely bet, I recognize that, but where SJS is in their contending clock, it wouldn’t be a bad… Read more »
was this “discount” referring to the assets in trade or on his contract? because i don’t see CGY retaining any. also, i’m not sure i want another player with movement protection considering teams have to honor them in trade now.
Discount is referring to assets in trade — Gaudreau already on a good to great deal, so doubt Calgary retains anything. As for acquiring a player with movement protection, that’s a gamble, sure, but Gaudreau’s deal obv not as pernicious. At least it’s a short-term gamble, if it doesn’t work out, he just walks as a UFA in 2022; if it works out, you have an easy PPG player on a great deal for 2 years.
sorry SP, i don’t consider a 2nd liner at 6.75M AAV a “good deal”. a top line player has to be good all over the ice, and JG just isn’t that. also, not a leader. he gets you points in the regular season where the game is called a lot tighter, but he’s not built for playoff hockey. i feel like DW and the Sharks have been going down this path for far too long, so maybe he’s a good fit for an org that wants to put butts in the seats…oh wait, Covid pretty much kills that idea.
Would you consider Patrick Kane a top-line player? Sure, ideally a top-line player is two-way, but if a guy is good enough at that one-way, you can build around his strengths and cover up his weaknesses, much like Chicago did with guys like Toews to put Kane in a position to succeed. Yes, if a Kane/Gaudreau is your main, main guy and you need him to do more stuff than his specialty, you’re going to be in trouble, I agree. But you can also win with them too, if you put them in a position to succeed. Gaudreau is absolutely… Read more »
Unless SJ can get rid of one of those ugly contracts, I just don’t see this happening.
Not likely for sure & that’s not even bringing up CGY trading within division. But I think it’s doable, as article illustrates — SJS has just enough space + CGY doesn’t appear to be asking a ton in trade. The last point is suspicious, of course, how a guy’s value went down that much so fast, don’t know.